Beware Third Time is a Charm; Understanding the N1H1 Past Pandemics - By Lance Winslow

By Lance Winslow

This is something I believe more people need to realize:

Influenza N1H1 is a deadly problem for humanity and the human race, and there are many things that people do not realize. For instance N1H1 is known to come in waves, and often it comes forth in multiple waves with in 18-months to two years, where the first two-waves of a new strain is not so deadly, and although noticed, does not wreak havoc on the populations. However, it ought to be known that the third wave of a new strain historically has been the worst occurs.

No, not every time, but nearly everything the normal flu has turned into a giant pandemic, it's been on a third wave. Not long ago, a top influenza researcher gave an interesting speech at MIT Biotech conference and he was explaining this, it is a fact that not a lot of people know and even those in the field may not realize because they are working on specific vaccine research, not the historical record of past influenza pandemics.

Now then, there are some in the know which are preparing for the third round of this current Swine Flu. Some say it could hit hard again in January or February of 2010. What's unfortunate, is now citizens believe it is no big deal, when that maybe a deadly mistake in thinking based on our historical record. In other words, we are not out of the woods yet. If people do not take the flu shots then they are liable to be making a miscalculation in the risk and actually seriously risking their family's health.

Meanwhile there are lots of anti-vaccine conspiracies, which have been causing problems too. Perhaps, that helped the supply and demand issues in the on-set, but now that supplies are coming online, it seems unfortunate that people do not understand the dangers of the "third wave" theory or the historical record of how these strains can mutate into become more deadly or more docile during subsequent waves, and the reality is no one knows. Perhaps this is something for you to chew on?

By Lance Winslow

Cite: "The Great Influenza - The Epic Story of the Deadliest Plague in History" by John M. Barry - and his most recent lecture at MIT;

Update and Cite on; Docile Prediction; Washington Post article; December 8, 2009.

Views: 93

Tags: 2010, MIT, N1H1-Swine-flu, biotech, conference, january-february, lance, lance-winslow, lancewinslow, school-challenges, More…third-wave, vaccines, winslow

Comment by Dawn Rezai on December 7, 2009 at 7:17pm
I find this commentary very interesting. What are you reference points for the discussion on there being a third wave coming? Has this been documented from influenzas from the past? Not to challenge you but I would like to go read them for myself.
Comment by Lance Winslow on December 8, 2009 at 2:48am
Dear Dawn, I have edited this post and I have put the cites into the blog post as per your request. Hope this helps you. :-)

Have a wonderful day and Merry Christmas.
Comment by Dawn Rezai on December 8, 2009 at 8:54pm
Thank you, I had already gone to the MIT site and listened to the hour plus talk that Mr. Barry gave. I found it to be very inciteful. He makes the biggest point by saying that none of the scientific think tanks really know how its going to go because this virus is as he terms it "novel", it does not transmit the same way, not incubate the same way as even the common infkluenza we expect every fall. There were similarities to the 1918 and the 1957 pandemics, but a lot of differences too, hence "novel". It is interesting that he does not believe necessarily in school closings as they had already done in several cities here in Virginia....I had only flipped through the book, and read the back before. I also like his case that if there had been money to be made in vaccines instead of viagra we may have had innoculations made in advance as well as one for the H1N5......Iwill check the other sites out later, again thank you....
Comment by Lance Winslow on December 9, 2009 at 12:15am


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